The Tea Party ascension following the 2010 election cycle was fueled by outraged Americans desperate to enact change by heading to the polls. According to Gallup surveys at the time, Republicans were far more excited about casting ballots during that election season than Democrat voters.
By a whopping margin of 62-28, GOP voters said they were more enthusiastic about voting in 2010. By comparison, Democrats were evenly split between those with more enthusiasm and those with less.
A recent poll, however, shows a troubling downward trend among registered voters. Just 35 percent indicated they were more enthusiastic about the 2014 election, while more than half responded they were less enthusiastic.
Historically, as evidenced in 2010, the party with the most voter enthusiasm is likely to win elections.
Separated by party, Republicans are better off in this regard. The GOP has an eight point enthusiasm deficit compared to 23 points among those on the other side of the aisle. Nevertheless, it appears the overwhelming excitement among Republicans during the conservative uprising in 2010 has effectively disappeared.
Though Republican voters in 2010 were more than twice as likely to express enthusiasm, the trend highlighted in that election is evident in previous wins for both parties.
When Democrats won the U.S. House in 2006, for example, voters in the party enjoyed a 13 point enthusiasm advantage over Republicans. Similarly, GOP voters measured 18 points higher than Democrats during the so-called Republican Revolution of 1994.
Furthermore, the Gallup poll attempted to determine what percentage of voters will show up on Election Day. Only about one in four Americans say they have given “some” or “quite a lot” of thought to the upcoming election, compared to 37 percent in 2010, which marked a huge spike for a midterm election.
In the end, Republicans still outperform Democrats on the enthusiasm scale, which likely means the party will see significant wins this November. Hopes for a repeat of the sweeping GOP victories of 2010, however, seem unlikely at best.
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This post originally appeared on Western Journalism – Informing And Equipping Americans Who Love Freedom